Sport Picks

Stadium Background

B. Monchengladbach vs Mainz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga Borussia-Park, Mönchengladbach
B. Monchengladbach Logo

B. Monchengladbach

3 - 4
FT
Mainz Logo

Mainz

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Neuhaus F.
Assist: Ullrich L.
18' Event
Tietz P.
Assist: Becker S.
19'
Ullrich L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga game between B. Monchengladbach and Mainz finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mainz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
B. Monchengladbach
20%
Draws
57%
Mainz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mainz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mainz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mainz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
B. Monchengladbach Clean Sheet 10%
Mainz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B. Monchengladbach Mainz
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 20
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.1 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Mainz
3:4
Apr 19, 2026 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Mainz
1:1
Dec 5, 2025 Bundesliga
Mainz vs B. Monchengladbach
0:1
Mar 7, 2025 Bundesliga
B. Monchengladbach vs Mainz
1:3
Oct 25, 2024 Bundesliga
Mainz vs B. Monchengladbach
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B. Monchengladbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Neuhaus F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lidberg I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mainz Compare

Top Goalscorer Tietz P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becker S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B. Monchengladbach 10 / 100
Mainz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B. Monchengladbach Mainz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mainz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

B. Monchengladbach scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Mainz let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

Recent resilience: B. Monchengladbach stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

B. Monchengladbach VS Mainz
3 Goals Scored 3.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

B. Monchengladbach

(Home)
03 Oct
St. Pauli
1 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
24 Sept
Siegen
0 : 3
B. Monchengladbach
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Freiburg
5 : 0
B. Monchengladbach
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Elversberg
Page 1 of 6

Mainz

(Away)
03 Oct
Mannheim
0 : 3
Mainz
19 Sept
B. Monchengladbach
3 : 4
Mainz
12 Sept
Mainz
1 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt
06 Sept
Hamburger
0 : 5
Mainz
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
2 Bayern Munich 4 3 1 0 14:2 10
3 Freiburg 4 3 1 0 12:3 10
4 Augsburg 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
5 Bayer Leverkusen 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
6 Mainz 4 2 1 1 10:6 7
7 Elversberg 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
8 Werder Bremen 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 2 0 2 9:5 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 1 2 1 9:10 5
11 Schalke 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Paderborn 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
13 1. FC Koln 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Hoffenheim 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 1 0 3 6:9 3
16 Hamburger 4 1 0 3 2:13 3
17 Union Berlin 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
18 B. Monchengladbach 4 0 0 4 6:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)