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B1 Castries vs Etoile Matoury

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Soga C.
8' Event
36' Event
Andrews W.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 game between B1 Castries and Etoile Matoury finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile Matoury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
B1 Castries
15%
Draws
85%
Etoile Matoury
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etoile Matoury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etoile Matoury come out ahead of B1 Castries on wins alone.
  • Etoile Matoury are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
B1 Castries Clean Sheet 10%
Etoile Matoury Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric B1 Castries Etoile Matoury
Matches Played 3 12
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 0.67 1.58
Goals Conceded 5.67 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 3.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2023 CFU Club Shield
B1 Castries vs Etoile Matoury
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

B1 Castries Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Etoile Matoury Compare

Top Goalscorer Soga C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andrews W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.48
Avg xA / game 2.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

B1 Castries 10 / 100
Etoile Matoury 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
B1 Castries Etoile Matoury

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etoile Matoury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Etoile Matoury let in goals in 75% of their last 12 matches.

Etoile Matoury lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: B1 Castries scored in 33% of their last 3 outings.

Scoring Trends

B1 Castries VS Etoile Matoury
0.67 Goals Scored 2
5.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

B1 Castries

(Home)
08 Aug
Universidad O&M
8 : 2
B1 Castries
06 Aug
B1 Castries
0 : 5
Robinhood
04 Aug
B1 Castries
0 : 4
Etoile Matoury

Etoile Matoury

(Away)
15 Nov
Etoile Matoury
1 : 2
Le Geldar
28 Jul
Etoile Matoury
2 : 4
Paradise
26 Jul
Moca
1 : 0
Etoile Matoury
30 Nov
Etoile Matoury
0 : 2
Thionville
23 Nov
Mana
0 : 3
Etoile Matoury
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitan FA 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Jong Holland 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 St. Pauls United 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Junior Stars 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 2 2 0 0 15:1 6
2 Scholars International 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 South East 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Robinhood 3 3 0 0 11:3 9
2 Etoile Matoury 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Universidad O&M 3 1 0 2 10:6 3
4 B1 Castries 3 0 0 3 2:17 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sando 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 SV Dakota 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Solidarite Scolaire 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
4 SWA Sharks 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Shield 2023 (Play Offs)