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Ba vs Kiwi

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2019 Govind Park, Ba
5 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Tiwa M.
10' Event
Cavuilagi S.
18' Event
Shaheed A.

AI Match Summary

Ba in this OFC Champions League 2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ba
15%
Draws
24%
Kiwi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ba have won more games recently than Kiwi.
  • Win probability leans Ba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Kiwi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Kiwi
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 19 9
Draws 7 0
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 2.87 2.48
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2019 OFC Champions League
Ba vs Kiwi
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaheed A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiwa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Kiwi Compare

Top Goalscorer Mano L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Kiwi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Kiwi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Kiwi has conceded goals in 95% of their last 21 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Ba went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
Page 1 of 7

Kiwi

(Away)
01 Mar
Ba
5 : 1
Kiwi
26 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 13
Team Wellington
23 Feb
Kiwi
0 : 2
Erakor Golden Star
02 Feb
Lotohaapai
1 : 9
Kiwi
30 Jan
Kiwi
4 : 3
Pago Youth
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hienghene Sport 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Lae City 3 1 2 0 8:6 5
3 Tefana 3 0 2 1 6:7 2
4 Malampa Revivors 3 0 1 2 5:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Sport 3 2 1 0 12:4 7
2 Henderson Eels 3 2 0 1 15:8 6
3 Lautoka 3 1 1 1 12:8 4
4 Morobe Wawens 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Ba 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Kiwi 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 23:1 9
2 Magenta 3 2 0 1 14:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 10:10 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 2:35 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2019 (Play Offs)