Sport Picks

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Ba vs Suva

Fiji Fiji

Premier League Govind Park, Ba
2 - 1
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Sukabula P.
60' Event
Dogalau E.
67' Event
Radrigai D.

AI Match Summary

Ba in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ba
15%
Draws
27%
Suva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ba lately — more wins on the board than Suva.
  • Model gives Ba a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Suva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Suva
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.72 1.81
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Premier League
Suva vs Ba
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Ba vs Suva
2:1
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Ba vs Suva
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Premier League
Suva vs Ba
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 Premier League
Suva vs Ba
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Sukabula P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dogalau E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Suva Compare

Top Goalscorer Radrigai D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Suva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Suva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba scored in 97% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Ba remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Suva let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS Suva
2.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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Suva

(Away)
16 Aug
Suva
7 : 0
Nadroga
09 Aug
Suva
3 : 2
Nasinu
02 Aug
Rewa
4 : 0
Suva
26 Jul
Suva
2 : 3
Tailevu Naitasiri
18 Jul
Labasa
2 : 2
Suva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 18 13 3 2 54:14 42
2 Labasa 18 11 5 2 44:21 38
3 Rewa 18 10 2 6 39:17 32
4 Lautoka 18 7 5 6 37:35 26
5 Navua 18 7 4 7 25:23 25
6 Suva 18 6 5 7 38:28 23
7 Nadi 18 6 3 9 25:29 21
8 Nasinu 18 6 3 9 27:42 21
9 Nadroga 18 3 4 11 22:50 13
10 Tailevu Naitasiri 18 2 4 12 20:72 10
Promotion - OFC Champions League (Preliminary)