Sport Picks

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Ba vs Tonga

World World

Friendly International 2024
4 - 0
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
Nagatalevu P.
' Event
Nagatalevu P.
' Event
Tirau P.

AI Match Summary

Ba in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Ba
15%
Draws
14%
Tonga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Ba have won more games recently than Tonga.
  • Model gives Ba a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ba Clean Sheet 20%
Tonga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ba Tonga
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 5
Draws 7 2
Losses 5 23
Goals Scored 2.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.94 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2024 Friendly International
Ba vs Tonga
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ba Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagatalevu P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tirau P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Tonga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ba 85 / 100
Tonga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ba Tonga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ba scored in 97% of their last 31 games.

Tonga let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ba has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ba VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ba

(Home)
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
12 Jul
Suva
1 : 2
Ba
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Tonga

(Away)
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2
Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
31 Aug
Ba
4 : 0
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
20 Mar
Tonga
1 : 4
Samoa
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