Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Babelsberg vs Jena

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Loder E.

AI Match Summary

Jena in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Jena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Babelsberg
15%
Draws
59%
Jena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Babelsberg haven't matched Jena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jena's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 14%
Jena Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Babelsberg Jena
Matches Played 27 33
Wins 11 22
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.22 3.91
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Jena
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Babelsberg
1:1
Jul 27, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Jena
1:4
May 6, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Jena
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Jena vs Babelsberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Babelsberg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jena Compare

Top Goalscorer Loder E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Babelsberg 15 / 100
Jena 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Babelsberg Jena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Babelsberg's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Jena conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Solid form: Babelsberg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Babelsberg VS Jena
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Babelsberg

(Home)
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
26 Aug
Greifswalder FC
2 : 1
Babelsberg
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Jena

(Away)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2
Lokomotive Leipzig
15 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
Jena
12 Sept
Jena
3 : 0
Hertha Berlin II
02 Sept
Jena
1 : 0
Altglienicke
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 10 6 3 1 19:14 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 10 4 2 4 12:16 14
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
13 Babelsberg 10 2 3 5 11:15 9
14 Hertha Berlin II 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
15 Chemie Leipzig 10 1 3 6 10:16 6
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)