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Stadium Background

Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Neumann L.
20' Event
Wegener P.
34' Event
Maciejewski T.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 game between Babelsberg and Luckenwalde finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luckenwalde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Babelsberg
11%
Draws
9%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Babelsberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Luckenwalde haven't matched Babelsberg's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Babelsberg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Babelsberg Luckenwalde
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 13 4
Draws 5 12
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde
2:3
Oct 24, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
0:0
May 10, 2025 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs Luckenwalde
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Regionalliga Nordost
Luckenwalde vs Babelsberg
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Babelsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Wegener P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Queisser L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Neumann L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maciejewski T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Babelsberg 76 / 100
Luckenwalde 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Babelsberg Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Babelsberg scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Luckenwalde conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Babelsberg stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Babelsberg VS Luckenwalde
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Babelsberg

(Home)
26 Jul
Chemie Leipzig
0 : 2
Babelsberg
18 Jul
Braunschweig U23
1 : 5
Babelsberg
11 Jul
Babelsberg
1 : 4
St. Pauli
04 Jul
Eilenburg
0 : 4
Babelsberg
03 Jul
Halle
1 : 3
Babelsberg
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Luckenwalde

(Away)
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
17 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 1
Halberstadt
14 Jul
Mahlsdorf
1 : 1
Luckenwalde
11 Jul
Klosterfelde
3 : 2
Luckenwalde
08 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 1
Rathenow
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lokomotive Leipzig34233865:3072
2Jena34226665:3572
3Zwickau34197852:4464
4Hallescher34196963:3663
5Erfurt341710768:4761
6Altglienicke341411950:4053
7Chemnitzer341491156:5251
8BFC Preussen341481250:5550
9Magdeburg II341541561:5549
10Luckenwalde3411101336:4543
11Babelsberg341181567:6541
12BFC Dynamo3410101445:5040
13Chemie Leipzig341241843:4940
14Hertha Berlin II341171646:6040
15Greifswalder FC349111440:4538
16Meuselwitz34891744:6133
17Eilenburg344111935:6823
18Hertha Zehlendorf34282430:7914
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)