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Bac Ninh vs Gia Lai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bac Ninh host Gia Lai in the V.League 1. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Gia Lai have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Bac Ninh have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.64. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.50, favoring Bac Ninh. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Bac Ninh
15%
Draws
26%
Gia Lai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bac Ninh carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Bac Ninh's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 16%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Gia Lai
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 66 / 100
Gia Lai 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Gia Lai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gia Lai let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Bac Ninh's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Bac Ninh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Gia Lai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Gia Lai
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bac Ninh

(Home)
18 Oct
Bac Ninh
0 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
11 Oct
Hanoi FC
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
Page 1 of 6

Gia Lai

(Away)
18 Oct
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 3
Gia Lai
10 Oct
Gia Lai
3 : 0
Da Nang
20 Sept
Gia Lai
2 : 3
Hung Yen
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 4 3 1 0 11:6 10
2 Cong An Ha Noi 4 3 0 1 7:2 9
3 Song Lam Nghe An 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
4 Nam Dinh 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
5 Ho Chi Minh 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
6 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Hai Phong 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
8 Thanh Hoa 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
9 Hanoi FC 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
10 Bac Ninh 4 1 1 2 1:2 4
11 Viettel 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
12 Gia Lai 4 1 0 3 7:11 3
13 Da Nang 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)