Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bac Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Viet Yen Stadium, Viet Yen
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Nguyen Duc Phu
15'
Khong Minh Gia
18' Event
Brenner

AI Match Summary

Bac Ninh in this V.League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bac Ninh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Bac Ninh
15%
Draws
21%
Ho Chi Minh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ho Chi Minh haven't matched Bac Ninh's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bac Ninh's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 68%
Ho Chi Minh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Ho Chi Minh
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 V.League 1
Bac Ninh vs Ho Chi Minh
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bac Ninh Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenner
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ho Chi Minh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 86 / 100
Ho Chi Minh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Ho Chi Minh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bac Ninh found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Ho Chi Minh conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Bac Ninh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ho Chi Minh lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Ho Chi Minh
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bac Ninh

(Home)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
06 Jun
Bac Ninh
1 : 3
PVF-CAND B
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Ho Chi Minh

(Away)
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
05 Sept
Ho Chi Minh
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
30 Aug
Cong An Ha Noi
5 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
23 Aug
Binh Duong
2 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
16 Aug
Ho Chi Minh
0 : 2
Long An
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
3 Cong An Ha Noi 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
4 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
5 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Viettel 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
13 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
14 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)