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Bac Ninh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bac Ninh host Truong Tuoi Dong Nai in the V.League 1. This one's hard to separate. Bac Ninh have averaged 1.76 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Truong Tuoi Dong Nai's 1.9 scored and 0.81 conceded. Past meetings favor Bac Ninh slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.19, favoring Bac Ninh. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Bac Ninh
15%
Draws
17%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bac Ninh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Truong Tuoi Dong Nai lately — more wins on the board than Bac Ninh.
  • Model gives Bac Ninh a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bac Ninh Clean Sheet 20%
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bac Ninh Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 19 20
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.9
Goals Conceded 1 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 V.League 2
Bac Ninh vs Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 V.League 2
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai vs Bac Ninh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bac Ninh 85 / 100
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bac Ninh Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bac Ninh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bac Ninh scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Bac Ninh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Truong Tuoi Dong Nai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bac Ninh VS Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bac Ninh

(Home)
19 Sept
Long An
2 : 3
Bac Ninh
11 Sept
Bac Ninh
1 : 0
Ho Chi Minh
06 Sept
Song Lam Nghe An
1 : 0
Bac Ninh
26 Aug
Bac Ninh
2 : 1
Hung Yen
12 Jun
PVF-CAND
1 : 2
Bac Ninh
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Truong Tuoi Dong Nai

(Away)
06 Oct
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
4 : 3
Aurora Saigon United
20 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 3
Cong An Ha Noi
13 Sept
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
04 Sept
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
0 : 2
Viettel
06 Jun
Xuan Thien Phu Tho
1 : 0
Truong Tuoi Dong Nai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Thanh Hoa 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
5 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Nam Dinh 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
7 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Da Nang 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
10 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
11 Hai Phong 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
12 Gia Lai 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
13 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)