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Bacevac vs Nika Lepusnica Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade
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AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - Belgrade game between Bacevac and Nika Lepusnica finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Bacevac
30%
Draws
51%
Nika Lepusnica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nika Lepusnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Nika Lepusnica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nika Lepusnica a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bacevac Clean Sheet 11%
Nika Lepusnica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bacevac Nika Lepusnica
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.76
Goals Conceded 3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Bacevac vs Nika Lepusnica
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bacevac 14 / 100
Nika Lepusnica 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bacevac Nika Lepusnica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nika Lepusnica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bacevac scored in 80% of their last 10 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Nika Lepusnica let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Bacevac stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bacevac VS Nika Lepusnica
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bacevac

(Home)
03 Oct
Bacevac
3 : 3
Nika Lepusnica
26 Sept
Polet Dorcol
1 : 0
Bacevac
19 Sept
Bacevac
1 : 3
Torlak
12 Sept
Bezanija
2 : 0
Bacevac
05 Sept
Bacevac
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
Page 1 of 2

Nika Lepusnica

(Away)
03 Oct
Bacevac
3 : 3
Nika Lepusnica
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Buducnost Dobanovci
0 : 0
Nika Lepusnica
15 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Usce
06 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 2
Nika Lepusnica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buducnost Dobanovci 7 4 3 0 12:1 15
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 7 4 2 1 12:5 14
3 Nika Lepusnica 7 4 2 1 12:7 14
4 Usce 7 4 1 2 10:8 13
5 Bezanija 7 4 0 3 10:7 12
6 Torlak 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
7 BASK 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
8 Brodarac 7 3 0 4 9:11 9
9 Zvezdara 7 3 0 4 9:12 9
10 Polet Dorcol 7 1 4 2 7:8 7
11 Bacevac 7 2 1 4 10:14 7
12 Padinska Skela 7 1 3 3 3:7 6
13 Prva Iskra 7 2 0 5 4:12 6
14 Jedinstvo Surcin 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade (Relegation)