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Backa 1901 vs Mladost Backi Jarak

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Backa 1901 play Mladost Backi Jarak in the Srpska Liga - Vojvodina 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Backa 1901 averaged 1.42 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. Mladost Backi Jarak averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Backa 1901 won 1, Mladost Backi Jarak won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2019 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Backa 1901 and 1.30 for Mladost Backi Jarak. This points to a Mladost Backi Jarak double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Backa 1901
21%
Draws
42%
Mladost Backi Jarak
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Mladost Backi Jarak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Backa 1901 picked up more points recently compared to Mladost Backi Jarak.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Backa 1901 Clean Sheet 19%
Mladost Backi Jarak Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Backa 1901 Mladost Backi Jarak
Matches Played 38 38
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.42 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2019 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Backa 1901 vs Mladost Backi Jarak
1:0
Sep 1, 2018 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Backa 1901
1:0
Apr 28, 2018 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Backa 1901 vs Mladost Backi Jarak
1:2
Oct 14, 2017 Srpska Liga - Vojvodina
Mladost Backi Jarak vs Backa 1901
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Backa 1901 37 / 100
Mladost Backi Jarak 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Backa 1901 Mladost Backi Jarak

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mladost Backi Jarak or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Backa 1901 attacking → ← attacking Mladost Backi Jarak

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Backa 1901 scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

Mladost Backi Jarak let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Backa 1901 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mladost Backi Jarak lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 49
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88