Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bad Hersfeld vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fernwald in this Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fernwald.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bad Hersfeld
20%
Draws
80%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fernwald

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Fernwald have won more games recently than Bad Hersfeld.
  • Win probability leans Fernwald's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bad Hersfeld Clean Sheet 19%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bad Hersfeld Fernwald
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 15
Draws 3 12
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.67
Goals Conceded 3.8 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Bad Hersfeld vs Fernwald
2:3
Aug 19, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Bad Hersfeld
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bad Hersfeld 10 / 100
Fernwald 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bad Hersfeld Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fernwald Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Bad Hersfeld's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Fernwald has conceded goals in 77% of their last 39 outings.

Difficult form: Fernwald registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fernwald
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bad Hersfeld

(Home)
29 May
Hunfelder
3 : 2
Bad Hersfeld
22 May
Bad Hersfeld
1 : 2
TSG Worsdorf 1887
15 May
RW Frankfurt
7 : 0
Bad Hersfeld
08 May
Bad Hersfeld
0 : 3
Aschaffenburg
01 May
Klein-Karben
5 : 1
Bad Hersfeld
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Fernwald

(Away)
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
23 Aug
Kassel 2
1 : 2
Fernwald
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