Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bad Hersfeld vs Schwalmstadt

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 game between Bad Hersfeld and Schwalmstadt finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schwalmstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Bad Hersfeld
15%
Draws
85%
Schwalmstadt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Schwalmstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bad Hersfeld come out ahead of Schwalmstadt on wins alone.
  • Model gives Schwalmstadt a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bad Hersfeld Clean Sheet 20%
Schwalmstadt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bad Hersfeld Schwalmstadt
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 24 25
Goals Scored 1.37 0.61
Goals Conceded 3.8 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2010 Oberliga Hessen
Bad Hersfeld vs Schwalmstadt
1:4
Aug 1, 2009 Oberliga Hessen
Schwalmstadt vs Bad Hersfeld
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bad Hersfeld 28 / 100
Schwalmstadt 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bad Hersfeld Schwalmstadt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schwalmstadt Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schwalmstadt let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Bad Hersfeld found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Schwalmstadt has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Schwalmstadt
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bad Hersfeld

(Home)
29 May
Hunfelder
3 : 2
Bad Hersfeld
22 May
Bad Hersfeld
1 : 2
TSG Worsdorf 1887
15 May
RW Frankfurt
7 : 0
Bad Hersfeld
08 May
Bad Hersfeld
0 : 3
Aschaffenburg
01 May
Klein-Karben
5 : 1
Bad Hersfeld
Page 1 of 6

Schwalmstadt

(Away)
13 Sept
Schwalmstadt
0 : 0
Kassel
23 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 1
Alzenau
16 May
Schwalmstadt
0 : 3
TSV Steinbach Haiger
09 May
Ederbergland
4 : 2
Schwalmstadt
02 May
Schwalmstadt
2 : 3
Flieden
Page 1 of 7