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Bad Leonfelden vs Friedburg

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberosterreich 2025/2026 game between Bad Leonfelden and Friedburg finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Friedburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bad Leonfelden
35%
Draws
38%
Friedburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Friedburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Friedburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Oberosterreich 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Bad Leonfelden Clean Sheet 10%
Friedburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bad Leonfelden Friedburg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.34 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Friedburg
3:4
Sep 12, 2025 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Bad Leonfelden
2:3
Mar 15, 2025 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs Bad Leonfelden
2:1
Aug 9, 2024 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Friedburg
3:2
Apr 30, 2024 Oberosterreich
Bad Leonfelden vs Friedburg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bad Leonfelden 30 / 100
Friedburg 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bad Leonfelden Friedburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friedburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bad Leonfelden scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Friedburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Bad Leonfelden has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bad Leonfelden VS Friedburg
1.88 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bad Leonfelden

(Home)
19 Sept
Grodig
1 : 1
Bad Leonfelden
11 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
1 : 4
Vorwarts Steyr
04 Sept
Bad Leonfelden
3 : 2
Dietach
29 Aug
Schallerbach
2 : 2
Bad Leonfelden
21 Aug
Bad Leonfelden
4 : 0
UFC Hallein
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Friedburg

(Away)
19 Sept
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
0 : 1
Friedburg
11 Sept
Friedburg
2 : 1
Andorf
05 Sept
Bad Ischl
2 : 2
Friedburg
01 Sept
Union Weisskirchen
2 : 2
Friedburg
28 Aug
Friedburg
5 : 1
Pregarten
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