Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bad Sauerbrunn vs Rust

Austria Austria

Burgenland
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bad Sauerbrunn host Rust in the Burgenland. This has Bad Sauerbrunn written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: Bad Sauerbrunn at 1.61 goals for, 1.42 against; Rust at 1.33 for, 3 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.94) point toward Bad Sauerbrunn. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bad Sauerbrunn
15%
Draws
0%
Rust
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bad Sauerbrunn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bad Sauerbrunn come out ahead of Rust on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Bad Sauerbrunn taking it.
  • Regular Burgenland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Bad Sauerbrunn Clean Sheet 20%
Rust Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bad Sauerbrunn Rust
Matches Played 31 3
Wins 11 0
Draws 10 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.42 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bad Sauerbrunn 85 / 100
Rust 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bad Sauerbrunn Rust

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bad Sauerbrunn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bad Sauerbrunn scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Rust let in goals in 100% of their last 3 matches.

Bad Sauerbrunn has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Rust's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bad Sauerbrunn VS Rust
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bad Sauerbrunn

(Home)
21 Aug
SV Eberau
1 : 3
Bad Sauerbrunn
14 Aug
Bad Sauerbrunn
2 : 2
SV Leithaprodersdorf
08 Aug
Bad Sauerbrunn
3 : 0
Halbturn
05 Jun
SV Eberau
1 : 3
Bad Sauerbrunn
30 May
Bad Sauerbrunn
2 : 3
Halbturn
Page 1 of 7

Rust

(Away)
22 Aug
Rust
1 : 3
Edelserpentin
13 Aug
Klingenbach
3 : 2
Rust
08 Aug
Rust
1 : 3
Margarethen