Sport Picks

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Badalona W vs Atl. Madrid W

Spain Spain

Liga F Women 2025/2026 Ciudad Deportiva de Bunol
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Chinchilla P.
Assist: Fernandez A.
24' Event
Chinchilla P.
Assist: Otermin R.
37' Event
Pinillos I.
Assist: Julve E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga F Women 2025/2026 game between Badalona W and Atl. Madrid W finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Badalona W
6%
Draws
90%
Atl. Madrid W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atl. Madrid W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Madrid W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atl. Madrid W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga F Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Atl. Madrid W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Badalona W Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Madrid W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badalona W Atl. Madrid W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga F Women
Badalona W vs Atl. Madrid W
2:4
Nov 16, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Badalona W
2:0
May 18, 2025 Liga F Women
Atl. Madrid W vs Badalona W
5:0
Jan 18, 2025 Liga F Women
Badalona W vs Atl. Madrid W
1:1
Dec 20, 2024 Copa de la Reina Women
Badalona W vs Atl. Madrid W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Badalona W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinillos I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uribe I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atl. Madrid W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinchilla P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bartel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badalona W 10 / 100
Atl. Madrid W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badalona W Atl. Madrid W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Badalona W found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Atl. Madrid W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Atl. Madrid W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badalona W VS Atl. Madrid W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barcelona W302901130:987
2Real Madrid W30233465:1872
3Real Sociedad W30206461:2766
4Costa Adeje Tenerife W301412449:2254
5Atl. Madrid W30149763:3951
6Granada CF W301361136:4245
7Athletic Bilbao W301281035:4444
8Sevilla W301251333:4641
9Badalona W301091128:4639
10Madrid CFF W301141541:5937
11Espanyol W307101328:4431
12Dep. A Coruna W30871534:5431
13Eibar W30841818:4728
14Logrono Dux W30491729:5421
15Alhama W30352223:7814
16Levante W30232518:629