Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Badbaado vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Badbaado
6%
Draws
90%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Elman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Badbaado haven't matched Elman's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Elman taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 12%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Elman
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Elman
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
1:2
May 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Elman
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 10 / 100
Elman 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Badbaado scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Elman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Badbaado remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Elman
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
10 Jul
Badbaado
4 : 1
Jazeera
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

Elman

(Away)
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
11 Jul
Elman
0 : 0
Horseed
04 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Elman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gaadiidka19135151:1544
2Heegan20135249:1644
3Dekedda20117246:2140
4Mogadishu City19116236:1239
5Elman20113633:1536
6Horseed2098338:1935
7Badbaado19621137:3320
8Jazeera1955938:3820
9Jeenyo2048830:3020
10Raadsan19421330:5014
11Jubba20201815:886
12Gantaalaha Afgooye17111516:824
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