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Badbaado vs Elman

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

1 - 2
FT
Elman Logo

Elman

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Elman in this National league matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Elman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
42%
Elman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Badbaado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Badbaado haven't matched Elman's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Badbaado taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 12%
Elman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Elman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Elman
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
1:2
May 8, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Elman
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
1:1
Jul 26, 2024 National league
Elman vs Badbaado
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 47 / 100
Elman 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Elman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Badbaado scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Elman has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Elman has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Elman
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Elman

(Away)
11 Aug
Raadsan
2 : 6
Elman
07 Aug
Elman
0 : 1
Jeenyo
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
14 Jul
Gantaalaha Afgooye
0 : 2
Elman
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)