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Badbaado vs Gaadiidka

Somalia Somalia

National league
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National league game between Badbaado and Gaadiidka finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gaadiidka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
58%
Gaadiidka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gaadiidka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Gaadiidka carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Gaadiidka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Gaadiidka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.93 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Gaadiidka
0:3
Apr 6, 2026 National league
Gaadiidka vs Badbaado
1:1
May 18, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Gaadiidka
1:0
Feb 3, 2025 National league
Gaadiidka vs Badbaado
3:0
Jul 6, 2024 National league
Gaadiidka vs Badbaado
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 30 / 100
Gaadiidka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Gaadiidka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gaadiidka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Gaadiidka conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Badbaado went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Gaadiidka
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Gaadiidka

(Away)
14 Aug
Gaadiidka
0 : 0
Dekedda
09 Aug
Gaadiidka
3 : 1
Mogadishu City
22 Jul
Jazeera
1 : 3
Gaadiidka
17 Jul
Elman
0 : 2
Gaadiidka
13 Jul
Gaadiidka
2 : 0
Jeenyo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)