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Badbaado vs Heegan

Somalia Somalia

National league
Badbaado Logo

Badbaado

0 - 2
FT
Heegan Logo

Heegan

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Heegan in this National league matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Heegan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Badbaado
15%
Draws
51%
Heegan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heegan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heegan lately — more wins on the board than Badbaado.
  • Model gives Badbaado a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National league form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Heegan have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Badbaado Clean Sheet 10%
Heegan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Badbaado Heegan
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 19
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.93 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 National league
Heegan vs Badbaado
2:1
Apr 13, 2026 National league
Badbaado vs Heegan
0:2
Apr 28, 2025 National league
Badbaado vs Heegan
0:4
Jan 14, 2025 National league
Heegan vs Badbaado
3:0
Jul 23, 2024 National league
Heegan vs Badbaado
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Badbaado 47 / 100
Heegan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Badbaado Heegan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Badbaado Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Badbaado found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Heegan conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Badbaado went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Badbaado VS Heegan
2.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Badbaado

(Home)
11 Aug
Horseed
3 : 1
Badbaado
07 Aug
Badbaado
4 : 2
Raadsan
20 Jul
Jubba
2 : 7
Badbaado
17 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 3
Dekedda
13 Jul
Badbaado
1 : 2
Mogadishu City
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Heegan

(Away)
12 Sept
Heegan
0 : 3
EL Merriekh Bentiu
05 Sept
EL Merriekh Bentiu
1 : 0
Heegan
13 Aug
Mogadishu City
0 : 1
Heegan
08 Aug
Heegan
4 : 0
Jazeera
21 Jul
Heegan
2 : 1
Elman
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaadiidka 22 15 6 1 57:16 51
2 Heegan 22 15 5 2 54:16 50
3 Dekedda 22 12 8 2 51:23 44
4 Mogadishu City 22 12 6 4 41:18 42
5 Horseed 22 11 8 3 44:21 41
6 Elman 22 12 3 7 39:18 39
7 Jeenyo 22 6 8 8 37:30 26
8 Badbaado 22 8 2 12 46:40 26
9 Jazeera 22 5 5 12 38:51 20
10 Raadsan 22 5 2 15 39:61 17
11 Gantaalaha Afgooye 22 2 1 19 28:101 7
12 Jubba 22 2 0 20 17:96 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)