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Baden vs FC Widnau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 Esp Stadium, Fislisbach
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baden host FC Widnau in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. FC Widnau have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Baden have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.78. Head-to-head, Baden have won 1 to FC Widnau's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.13, favoring Baden. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Baden
15%
Draws
12%
FC Widnau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baden come out ahead of FC Widnau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Baden's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Baden Clean Sheet 20%
FC Widnau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baden FC Widnau
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.78 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
FC Widnau vs Baden
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Baden vs FC Widnau
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baden 85 / 100
FC Widnau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baden FC Widnau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

FC Widnau has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

FC Widnau's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Baden VS FC Widnau
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baden

(Home)
17 Oct
Baden
2 : 1
Wohlen
10 Oct
Gossau
3 : 2
Baden
03 Oct
Baden
2 : 3
Taverne
27 Sept
Locarno
3 : 1
Baden
19 Sept
Baden
2 : 1
Dietikon
Page 1 of 7

FC Widnau

(Away)
18 Oct
FC Widnau
0 : 2
Buochs
11 Oct
FC Widnau
4 : 4
Eschen/Mauren
03 Oct
Gossau
4 : 1
FC Widnau
27 Sept
FC Widnau
0 : 1
Freienbach
19 Sept
Taverne
5 : 0
FC Widnau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 10 7 1 2 21:16 22
2 Tuggen 10 6 3 1 23:12 21
3 Taverne 10 6 2 2 26:13 20
4 Thalwil 10 4 4 2 16:11 16
5 Baden 10 5 1 4 21:17 16
6 Kosova 10 4 4 2 15:12 16
7 Collina d'Oro 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
8 Dietikon 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
9 Gossau 10 4 2 4 15:19 14
10 Eschen/Mauren 10 3 3 4 16:19 12
11 Locarno 10 2 4 4 12:13 10
12 Freienbach 10 2 4 4 11:15 10
13 Wettswil-Bonstetten 10 2 3 5 12:15 9
14 Winterthur II 10 3 0 7 10:18 9
15 Mendrisio 10 1 5 4 11:15 8
16 FC Widnau 10 1 3 6 8:21 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)