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Baerum U19 vs Lillestrom U19

Norway Norway

Junior U19 2016
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
24' Event
27' Event

AI Match Summary

Lillestrom U19 in this Junior U19 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lillestrom U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Baerum U19
15%
Draws
38%
Lillestrom U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lillestrom U19 lately — more wins on the board than Baerum U19.
  • Baerum U19 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Baerum U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum U19 Lillestrom U19
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 15 26
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.93 2.85
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2016 Junior U19
Baerum U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:6
Apr 7, 2016 Junior U19
Lillestrom U19 vs Baerum U19
1:0
Aug 25, 2011 Junior U19
Baerum U19 vs Lillestrom U19
1:0
Apr 17, 2011 Junior U19
Lillestrom U19 vs Baerum U19
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum U19 56 / 100
Lillestrom U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum U19 Lillestrom U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum U19's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Baerum U19 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Lillestrom U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 47 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillestrom U19
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum U19

(Home)
13 Oct
Baerum U19
12 : 0
Gjellerasen U19
06 Oct
Ham-Kam U19
1 : 2
Baerum U19
02 Oct
Raufoss U19
1 : 7
Baerum U19
22 Sept
Baerum U19
1 : 0
Lyn U19
15 Sept
Baerum U19
3 : 1
Stabaek U19
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Lillestrom U19

(Away)
26 Aug
Lillestrom U19
4 : 1
Tromso U19
20 Aug
Tromso U19
1 : 3
Lillestrom U19
06 Aug
Lillestrom U19
6 : 0
Aalesund U19
28 Jul
Aalesund U19
3 : 1
Lillestrom U19
14 Mar
Aalesund U19
0 : 5
Lillestrom U19
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