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Baerum vs Frigg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baerum host Frigg in the Division 3 - Group 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Frigg have shipped 2.39 goals a game lately, while Baerum have conceded 2 and scored 2.9. Head-to-head, Baerum have won 2 to Frigg's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 2.19, favoring Baerum. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Baerum
15%
Draws
21%
Frigg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baerum lately — more wins on the board than Frigg.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Frigg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Frigg
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 12
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.9 2.57
Goals Conceded 2 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Baerum
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Frigg
2:3
Jun 28, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Frigg vs Baerum
3:4
Mar 8, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Frigg vs Baerum
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Frigg vs Baerum
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 74 / 100
Frigg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Frigg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

Frigg has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Frigg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Frigg
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
17 Oct
Baerum
2 : 1
Ullern
10 Oct
Asker
4 : 2
Baerum
04 Oct
Baerum
1 : 2
Ready
01 Oct
Baerum
1 : 5
Lillestrom
26 Sept
Valerenga 2
2 : 0
Baerum
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Frigg

(Away)
19 Oct
KFUM Oslo 2
6 : 0
Frigg
14 Oct
Asker
3 : 2
Frigg
10 Oct
Valerenga 2
4 : 1
Frigg
03 Oct
Frigg
1 : 1
Gamle Oslo
26 Sept
Union Carl Berner
6 : 2
Frigg
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