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Baerum vs Funnefoss/Vormsund

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baerum play Funnefoss/Vormsund in the Division 3 - Group 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Baerum averaged 2.94 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Funnefoss/Vormsund averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Baerum won 1, Funnefoss/Vormsund won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 27, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Baerum and 1.56 for Funnefoss/Vormsund. This points to a Baerum double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Baerum
29%
Draws
26%
Funnefoss/Vormsund
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Baerum picked up more points recently compared to Funnefoss/Vormsund.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Baerum Clean Sheet 15%
Funnefoss/Vormsund Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Funnefoss/Vormsund
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.94 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.82 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Funnefoss/Vormsund
1:1
May 3, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Funnefoss/Vormsund vs Baerum
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Funnefoss/Vormsund Compare

Top Goalscorer Danial J. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 44 / 100
Funnefoss/Vormsund 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Funnefoss/Vormsund

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Baerum or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Baerum attacking → ← attacking Funnefoss/Vormsund

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 94% of their last 34 games.

Funnefoss/Vormsund let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Baerum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Funnefoss/Vormsund lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 35
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00