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Baerum vs Grei

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Coric K.
18' Event
Dacic A.
53' Event
Coric K.

AI Match Summary

Baerum host Grei in the Division 3 - Group 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Grei have shipped 3.38 goals a game lately, while Baerum have conceded 2.13 and scored 2.75. Head-to-head, Baerum have won 1 to Grei's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 5:0. xG projections (3.06 - 2.06) back Baerum to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baerum
6%
Draws
4%
Grei
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Baerum has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Grei.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Baerum.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 3 - Group 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Grei
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 2.75 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Grei
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Coric K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dacic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Grei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 83 / 100
Grei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Grei

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Grei let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Baerum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Grei lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Grei
2.75 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 88%