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Stadium Background

Baerum vs Grei

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Coric K.
18' Event
Dacic A.
53' Event
Coric K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Baerum and Grei finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Baerum
15%
Draws
20%
Grei
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Grei haven't matched Baerum's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baerum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Baerum Clean Sheet 18%
Grei Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Grei
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 3.14 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.83 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Grei vs Baerum
1:7
May 30, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Grei
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Coric K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dacic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Grei Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 85 / 100
Grei 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Grei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Grei let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Baerum went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Grei
4.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1
Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0
Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
10 Aug
Baerum
5 : 1
KFUM Oslo 2
01 Aug
Heming
3 : 1
Baerum
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Grei

(Away)
01 Sept
Nordstrand
3 : 5
Grei
22 Aug
Grei
0 : 4
Lyn
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7
Baerum
08 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
1 : 0
Grei
03 Aug
KFUM Oslo 2
5 : 0
Grei
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