Sport Picks

Norway

NM Cup

Lillestrom

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Lillestrom have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Baerum have conceded 1.93 and scored 2.96. Past meetings favor Lillestrom slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2016, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.94 - 1.50) back Baerum to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Baerum

15%

Draws

48%

Lillestrom

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lillestrom

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Baerum lately — more wins on the board than Lillestrom.
Win probability leans Lillestrom's way, sitting at 40%.
Baerum have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lillestrom, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Baerum Clean Sheet 16%

Lillestrom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Baerum	Lillestrom
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	4	3
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	2.96	1.24
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2016 Club Friendly

Baerum vs Lillestrom

1:4

Jun 28, 2007 NM Cup

Lillestrom vs Baerum

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 28 / 100

Lillestrom 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Baerum Lillestrom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baerum scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Lillestrom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Baerum stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Lillestrom

2.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

(Home)

19 Sept

Baerum

1 : 2

Union Carl Berner

13 Sept

Lokomotiv Oslo

5 : 2

Baerum

05 Sept

Baerum

1 : 0

Nordstrand

30 Aug

Konnerud

1 : 1

Baerum

22 Aug

Baerum

4 : 0

Mjondalen

Page 1 of 6

Lillestrom

(Away)

20 Sept

Viking

3 : 0

Lillestrom

17 Sept

Lillestrom

1 : 2

Torreense

12 Sept

Lillestrom

2 : 0

Valerenga

05 Sept

Brann

1 : 2

Lillestrom

02 Sept

Aurskog/Finstadbru

0 : 3

Lillestrom

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Baerum 4

Mjondalen 0

Aurskog/Finstadbru 0

Lillestrom 3

Froya 0

Sotra 6

Fjora 0

Sogndal 8

Tynset 0

Trygg/Lade 3

Midsund 0

Molde 11

Asker 7

Kvik Halden 0

Modum 0

Stromsgodset 6

Fram 1

Jerv 2

Vag 2

Egersund 5

Fana 1

Bjarg 3

Rosseland 0

Bryne 3

Volda 2

Brattvag 6

Tronder-Lyn 0

Kristiansund 5

Floro 2

Forde 4

Langevag 0

Aalesund 13

Froland 1

Arendal 5

Varhaug 2

Sandnes Ulf 3

Stalkam 2

Rana FK 3

Fauske Sprint 0

Bodo/Glimt 5

Askoy 1

Sandviken 2

Arna-Bjornar 0

Asane 1

Rollon 0

Traeff 7

Spjelkavik 1

Hodd 2

Strindheim 0

Levanger 8

Steinkjer 0

Ranheim 6

Melhus 0

Stjordals Blink 3

Eidsvold IF 1

Fredrikstad 7

Madla IL 3

Vidar 2

Brodd 1

Viking 3

Eik-Tonsberg 1

Honefoss 4

Ready 0

KFUM Oslo 4

Elverum 7

Ull/Kisa 6

Ridabu 0

Raufoss 4

Vindbjart 2

Flekkeroy 1

Flekkefjord 1

Start 2

Bossekop 1

Alta 2

Ulfstind 0

Tromso 5

Nord 0

Djerv 1919 4

V. Haugesund 3

Haugesund 4

Assiden 0

Notodden 4

Teie 0

Odds BK 10

Flint 2

Orn 0

Eidanger 0

Sandefjord 15

Uradd 0

Pors 3

Heming 0

Stabaek 2

Gjovik-Lyn 2

Eidsvold TF 7

Skreia 2

Kongsvinger 14

Harstad 0

Tromsdalen (TUIL) 1

Lillehammer 2

Strommen 4

Gamle Oslo 6

Drobak-Frogn 1

Grei 0

Lyn 4

Floya 5

Junkeren 3

Nationalkameratene 0

Rosenborg 9

Frigg 0

Kjelsas 4

Trysil 0

Ham-Kam 5

Lokomotiv Oslo 1

Grorud 5

Lorenskog 0

Moss 3

OS TF 2

Lysekloster 0

Fyllingen 0

Brann 4

Rade 1

Follo 2

Sparta Sarpsborg 0

Sarpsborg 08 2

Nordstrand 1

Skeid 4

Christiania BK 2

Valerenga 7

1/32-finals

Baerum -

Lillestrom -

Sotra 1

Sogndal 2

Trygg/Lade 0

Molde 5

Asker 1

Stromsgodset 4

Jerv 1

Egersund 2

Bjarg 1

Bryne 4

Brattvag 1

Kristiansund 2

Forde 3

Aalesund 4

Arendal 1

Sandnes Ulf 2

Rana FK -

Bodo/Glimt -

Sandviken 2

Asane 3

Traeff 0

Hodd 3

Levanger 0

Ranheim 2

Stjordals Blink 0

Fredrikstad 1

Madla IL -

Viking -

Honefoss -

KFUM Oslo -

Elverum 0

Raufoss 3

Vindbjart 2

Start 3

Alta 1

Tromso 2

Djerv 1919 0

Haugesund 4

Notodden 2

Odds BK 3

Flint -

Sandefjord -

Pors 2

Stabaek 1

Eidsvold TF 2

Kongsvinger 3

Tromsdalen (TUIL) 9

Strommen 1

Gamle Oslo 1

Lyn 3

Floya 1

Rosenborg 4

Kjelsas 0

Ham-Kam 2

Grorud 2

Moss 1

OS TF 1

Brann 2

Follo -

Sarpsborg 08 -

Skeid 1

Valerenga 4

1/16-finals

TBD -

Sogndal -

Molde -

Stromsgodset -

Egersund -

Bryne -

Kristiansund -

Aalesund -

Sandnes Ulf -

TBD -

Asane -

Hodd -

Ranheim -

Fredrikstad -

TBD -

Raufoss -

Start -

Tromso -

Haugesund -

Odds BK -

TBD -

Pors -

Kongsvinger -

Tromsdalen (TUIL) -

Lyn -

Rosenborg -

Ham-Kam -

Grorud -

Brann -

TBD -

Valerenga -

1/8-finals

TBD -

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Baerum vs Lillestrom

Norway

Baerum

Lillestrom

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Baerum

Lillestrom

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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