Sport Picks
Match Events
8'
8'
Coric K.
43'
43'
Bransdal L.
50'
50'
Henriksen J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
74%
20%
6%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baerum
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
74%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Baerum lately — more wins on the board than Lorenskog.
- Model gives Baerum a 74% chance of winning this.
- Baerum have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Baerum, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Baerum have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Baerum Clean Sheet 20%
Lorenskog Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baerum | Lorenskog |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 3.14 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2026 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Lorenskog
2:2
Feb 15, 2025 OBOS Supercup
Baerum vs Lorenskog
2:0
May 20, 2007 NM Cup
Baerum vs Lorenskog
2:0
Aug 12, 2006 Division 2 - Group 1
Lorenskog vs Baerum
1:2
Apr 29, 2006 Division 2 - Group 1
Baerum vs Lorenskog
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Baerum Compare
Top Goalscorer Coric K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bransdal L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69
Lorenskog Compare
Top Goalscorer Henriksen J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Werni S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Baerum 85 / 100
Lorenskog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Baerum Lorenskog
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baerum Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Baerum found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Lorenskog has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Baerum went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Baerum VS Lorenskog
4 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Baerum
(Home) 05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0 Nordstrand
30 Aug
Konnerud
1 : 1 Baerum
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
15 Aug
Grei
1 : 7 Baerum
10 Aug
Baerum
5 : 1 KFUM Oslo 2
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05 Sept
Baerum
1 : 0 Nordstrand
22 Aug
Baerum
4 : 0 Mjondalen
10 Aug
Baerum
5 : 1 KFUM Oslo 2
25 Jul
Baerum
6 : 3 Valerenga 2
20 Jun
Baerum
7 : 2 Konnerud
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Lorenskog
(Away) 06 Sept
Lorenskog
1 : 1 Junkeren
30 Aug
Levanger
5 : 0 Lorenskog
22 Aug
Lorenskog
0 : 3 Moss
15 Aug
Lorenskog
1 : 7 Eidsvold TF
09 Aug
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 0 Lorenskog
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30 Aug
Levanger
5 : 0 Lorenskog
09 Aug
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
2 : 0 Lorenskog
25 Jul
Junkeren
1 : 0 Lorenskog
21 Jun
Trygg/Lade
1 : 4 Lorenskog
31 May
Honefoss
1 : 1 Lorenskog
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eidsvold TF | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 2 | Grorud | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Lorenskog | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Eik-Tonsberg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:9 | 4 |
| 5 | Baerum | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | 2 |
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skeid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 2 | Honefoss | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 7 |
| 3 | Asker | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 4 | Ull/Kisa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 5 | Lokomotiv Oslo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS Supercup (Play Offs)
