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Baerum vs Ulfstind

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bransdal L.
12' Event
Coric K.
16' Event
Bransdal L.

AI Match Summary

Baerum in this Division 3 - Group 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baerum
6%
Draws
4%
Ulfstind
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baerum lately — more wins on the board than Ulfstind.
  • Baerum are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Baerum Clean Sheet 11%
Ulfstind Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baerum Ulfstind
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Ulfstind
5:1
Mar 29, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Ulfstind vs Baerum
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Bransdal L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Coric K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Ulfstind Compare

Top Goalscorer Haugen S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baerum 83 / 100
Ulfstind 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baerum Ulfstind

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ulfstind conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Baerum stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baerum VS Ulfstind
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%