Sport Picks
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Baglan Dragons host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Baglan Dragons have averaged 0.65 scored and 1.87 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.39 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Baglan Dragons have won 2 to Caerau Ely's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 0.39 vs 0.96, favoring Caerau Ely. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Baglan Dragons.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Baglan Dragons | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 36 |
| Wins | 5 | 19 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 2.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.39 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Caerau Ely has conceded goals in 67% of their last 36 outings.
Baglan Dragons has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Baglan Dragons scored in 45% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Baglan Dragons
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Carmarthen Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Newport City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Treowen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Caerau Ely | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Llanelli | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 15 | Caerphilly | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:9 | 0 |
