Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Baglan Dragons Logo

Baglan Dragons

1 - 1
FT
Trethomas Bluebirds Logo

Trethomas Bluebirds

Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Davies T.
64' Event
Newman Jones A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Baglan Dragons
20%
Draws
46%
Trethomas Bluebirds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Trethomas Bluebirds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Trethomas Bluebirds haven't matched Baglan Dragons's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Cymru South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Baglan Dragons Clean Sheet 16%
Trethomas Bluebirds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baglan Dragons Trethomas Bluebirds
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds
1:1
Dec 20, 2025 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru South
Baglan Dragons vs Trethomas Bluebirds
2:0
Nov 22, 2024 Cymru South
Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baglan Dragons Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Trethomas Bluebirds Compare

Top Goalscorer Newman Jones A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baglan Dragons 31 / 100
Trethomas Bluebirds 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baglan Dragons Trethomas Bluebirds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trethomas Bluebirds Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trethomas Bluebirds let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Baglan Dragons scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Baglan Dragons has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baglan Dragons VS Trethomas Bluebirds
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baglan Dragons

(Home)
25 Sept
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2
Carmarthen Town
12 Sept
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 1
Baglan Dragons
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 1
Caerphilly
28 Aug
Baglan Dragons
3 : 1
Caerau Ely
Page 1 of 6

Trethomas Bluebirds

(Away)
26 Sept
Ynyshir Albions
1 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
04 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
2 : 2
Caerphilly
31 Aug
Carmarthen Town
2 : 3
Trethomas Bluebirds
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Pontypridd United
2 : 1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)