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Bahia de Feira U20 vs Catuense U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia de Feira U20 play Catuense U20 in the Baiano U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bahia de Feira U20 averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. Catuense U20 averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. In past meetings, Bahia de Feira U20 won 2, Catuense U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 11, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Bahia de Feira U20 and 1.31 for Catuense U20. This points to a Bahia de Feira U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Bahia de Feira U20
15%
Draws
30%
Catuense U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia de Feira U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Bahia de Feira U20 picked up more points recently compared to Catuense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Bahia de Feira U20 Clean Sheet 18%
Catuense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira U20 Catuense U20
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 0
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.46 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Baiano U20
Bahia de Feira U20 vs Catuense U20
2:1
Mar 20, 2024 Baiano U20
Catuense U20 vs Bahia de Feira U20
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira U20 53 / 100
Catuense U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira U20 Catuense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia de Feira U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Bahia de Feira U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bahia de Feira U20 attacking → ← attacking Catuense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia de Feira U20 scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Catuense U20 let in goals in 96% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Bahia de Feira U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Catuense U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 21
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Estrela De Marco U201090119:727
2Vitoria U201061330:919
3Jacobina U201043313:815
4Camacariense U201025314:1611
5SSA U20102447:1610
6Leonico U20100196:331
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Bahia U201293031:1030
2Jacuipense U201282223:1026
3Juazeirense U201253423:2018
4Bahia de Feira U201252522:1717
5Catuense U201250717:2415
6Ypiranga U20122378:159
7Alagoinhas U2012111010:384
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Conquista FC U201062217:1320
2Vitoria da Conquista U201052316:1017
3Itabuna U201044211:1016
4Jequie U201033411:1112
5Grapiuna U20102359:129
6Barcelona FC U201022610:188