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Stadium Background

Bahia de Feira vs Porto-BA

Brazil Brazil

Baiano SuperBet Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Everton Dias
Own Goal
22'
Anderson Bandeira
36'
Bruno Ferreira

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bahia de Feira
6%
Draws
4%
Porto-BA
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bahia de Feira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahia de Feira lately — more wins on the board than Porto-BA.
  • Win probability leans Bahia de Feira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet 68%
Porto-BA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia de Feira Porto-BA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Baiano
Bahia de Feira vs Porto-BA
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia de Feira Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Porto-BA Compare

Top Goalscorer Ygor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia de Feira 95 / 100
Porto-BA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia de Feira Porto-BA

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Porto-BA conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Bahia de Feira's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Porto-BA's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahia de Feira VS Porto-BA
2.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bahia972026:923
2Vitoria944113:416
3Jacuipense934211:1013
4Juazeirense93427:913
5Jequie933315:1312
6Porto-BA925210:1211
7Barcelona FC92437:1510
8Galicia93067:149
9Bahia de Feira923411:129
10Alagoinhas90365:143