The Serie D 2019 game between Bahia de Feira and Serrano PB finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia de Feira.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
Bahia de Feira
30%
Draws
35%
Serrano PB
Draw rate projection: 30%Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
Bahia de Feira carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Bahia de Feira's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Serie D 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals92%
Over 1.5 Goals82%
Over 2.5 Goals78%
Over 3.5 Goals13%
Over 4.5 Goals6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)32.400000000000006%
Bahia de Feira Clean Sheet68%
Serrano PB Clean Sheet11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
Metric
Bahia de Feira
Serrano PB
Matches Played
32
27
Wins
13
4
Draws
9
10
Losses
10
13
Goals Scored
1.97
1.15
Goals Conceded
1
2.37
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)
1.10
1.40
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 1, 2019Serie D
Serrano PBvsBahia de Feira
0:5
May 11, 2019Serie D
Bahia de FeiravsSerrano PB
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia de Feira50 / 100
Serrano PB27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia de Feira Serrano PB
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary PickBahia de Feira Win (1)
Secondary PickOver 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score3:0
BTTS OutcomeNo (NG)
Over/Under PickOver 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Serrano PB has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Bahia de Feira's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Solid form: Bahia de Feira remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.