Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bahia U17 vs Vasco U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U17 2025
Bahia U17 Logo

Bahia U17

4 - 5
FT
Vasco U17 Logo

Vasco U17

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Guilherme V.
6' Event
Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
9' Event
Medina G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vasco U17 in this Brasileiro U17 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vasco U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bahia U17
30%
Draws
33%
Vasco U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Vasco U17 have won more games recently than Bahia U17.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Brasileiro U17 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vasco U17 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bahia U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Vasco U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U17 Vasco U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Brasileiro U17
Vasco U17 vs Bahia U17
1:1
Sep 16, 2025 Brasileiro U17
Bahia U17 vs Vasco U17
4:5
May 6, 2025 Copa do Brasil U17
Vasco U17 vs Bahia U17
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vasco U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto Silva Ferreira P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medina G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U17 30 / 100
Vasco U17 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U17 Vasco U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bahia U17 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Vasco U17 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Bahia U17 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U17 VS Vasco U17
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U17

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 0
Fluminense U17
22 Sept
Cruzeiro U17
4 : 0
Bahia U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
09 Sept
Bahia U17
1 : 1
Flamengo RJ U17
05 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
0 : 4
Bahia U17
Page 1 of 6

Vasco U17

(Away)
30 Sept
Palmeiras U17
5 : 0
Vasco U17
22 Sept
Vasco U17
5 : 0
Santos U17
15 Sept
Vasco U17
1 : 1
Bahia U17
08 Sept
Botafogo RJ U17
4 : 2
Vasco U17
05 Sept
Vasco U17
4 : 0
Gremio U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U17 19 15 1 3 55:19 46
2 Athletico-PR U17 19 12 3 4 50:26 39
3 Flamengo RJ U17 19 11 4 4 40:23 37
4 Bragantino U17 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
5 Gremio U17 19 11 2 6 44:32 35
6 Atletico-MG U17 19 10 5 4 44:22 35
7 Fluminense U17 19 10 5 4 30:22 35
8 Vasco U17 19 9 6 4 35:28 33
9 Corinthians U17 19 9 5 5 41:26 32
10 Santos U17 19 9 4 6 35:31 31
11 Sao Paulo U17 19 8 5 6 31:27 29
12 Cruzeiro U17 19 8 3 8 41:31 27
13 Fortaleza U17 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
14 Botafogo RJ U17 19 5 5 9 33:46 20
15 EC Juventude U17 19 5 4 10 22:36 19
16 Internacional U17 19 5 3 11 29:34 18
17 Cuiaba U17 19 2 7 10 16:43 13
18 Bahia U17 19 2 3 14 21:48 9
19 America MG U17 19 1 5 13 17:52 8
20 Atletico GO U17 19 0 4 15 14:68 4
Promotion - Brasileiro U17 2025 (Play Offs)