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Bahia U20 vs Itabuna U20

Brazil Brazil

Baiano U20 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia U20 in this Baiano U20 2024 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bahia U20
6%
Draws
4%
Itabuna U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bahia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahia U20 lately — more wins on the board than Itabuna U20.
  • Bahia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bahia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabuna U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Bahia U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Bahia U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Itabuna U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia U20 Itabuna U20
Matches Played 46 22
Wins 29 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2024 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Itabuna U20
4:1
May 25, 2024 Baiano U20
Itabuna U20 vs Bahia U20
1:2
May 7, 2023 Baiano U20
Bahia U20 vs Itabuna U20
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia U20 95 / 100
Itabuna U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia U20 Itabuna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia U20's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 46 recent games.

Itabuna U20 let in goals in 86% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Bahia U20 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahia U20 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia U20

(Home)
18 Jul
Bahia U20
7 : 0
Camacariense U20
11 Jul
Camacariense U20
1 : 6
Bahia U20
04 Jul
Bahia U20
6 : 2
Jacobina U20
01 Jul
Bahia U20
3 : 1
Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20
28 Jun
Jacobina U20
0 : 3
Bahia U20
Page 1 of 10

Itabuna U20

(Away)
31 May
Bahia U20
4 : 1
Itabuna U20
25 May
Itabuna U20
1 : 2
Bahia U20
18 May
Jequie U20
0 : 1
Itabuna U20
11 May
Itabuna U20
0 : 2
Conquista FC U20
04 May
Barcelona FC U20
1 : 1
Itabuna U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Bahia U206
Itabuna U202
Jacuipense U201
Vitoria da Conquista U202
Estrela De Marco U203
Juazeirense U202
Conquista FC U201
Vitoria U203
Semi-finals
Bahia U206
Vitoria da Conquista U201
Estrela De Marco U202
Vitoria U203
Final
Bahia U204
Vitoria U201