Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Huguinho
21'
21'
Montoro A.
25'
25'
Sub
Olivera C. In: Ademir
Out: Olivera C.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bahia and Botafogo RJ finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Botafogo RJ have managed 1.5 goals a game lately — Bahia are scoring more at 1.59.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Bahia taking it.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bahia Clean Sheet 20%
Botafogo RJ Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Botafogo RJ |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Botafogo RJ
2:1
Oct 2, 2025 Serie A Betano
Botafogo RJ vs Bahia
2:1
May 4, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Botafogo RJ
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Botafogo RJ
0:0
Aug 7, 2024 Copa Betano do Brasil
Bahia vs Botafogo RJ
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer David Duarte
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Botafogo RJ Compare
Top Goalscorer Huguinho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 85 / 100
Botafogo RJ 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Botafogo RJ
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Bahia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Botafogo RJ's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Botafogo RJ
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0 Vasco
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 4
Botafogo RJ
(Away) 19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0 Botafogo RJ
16 Sept
Botafogo RJ
3 : 2 Gremio
12 Sept
Botafogo RJ
1 : 1 Bragantino
06 Sept
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Palmeiras
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mirassol
2 : 0 Botafogo RJ
30 Aug
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ
16 Aug
Vitoria
1 : 0 Botafogo RJ
14 Aug
Cienciano
6 : 1 Botafogo RJ
26 Jul
Cruzeiro
0 : 1 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 32 |
| 16 | Vasco | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:38 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | 18 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
