Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Enamorado J.
46'
46'
Sub
Willian In: Gabriel Mec
Out: Willian
57'
57'
Kanu
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bahia and Gremio finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bahia come out ahead of Gremio on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Bahia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bahia Clean Sheet 20%
Gremio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Gremio
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Gremio
4:0
May 25, 2025 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Bahia
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Serie A Betano
Gremio vs Bahia
0:2
Apr 28, 2024 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Gremio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanabria M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Gremio Compare
Top Goalscorer Viery
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 42 / 100
Gremio 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Gremio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bahia scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Gremio let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Bahia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Gremio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1 Botafogo RJ
17 May
Bahia
1 : 1 Gremio
Page 1 of 4
Gremio
(Away) 05 Aug
Gremio
1 : 0 Mirassol
02 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Gremio
30 Jul
Gremio
0 : 1 Bolivar
26 Jul
Gremio
1 : 1 Fluminense
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2 Gremio
Page 1 of 6
02 Aug
Mirassol
1 : 1 Gremio
23 Jul
Bolivar
3 : 2 Gremio
17 Jul
Mirassol
2 : 1 Gremio
27 Jun
FC Cascavel
1 : 2 Gremio
17 May
Bahia
1 : 1 Gremio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 47 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 39 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 37 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 34 |
| 5 | Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 8 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 29 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 28 |
| 11 | Coritiba | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | 27 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | 26 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 15 | Santos | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | 22 |
| 16 | Internacional | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | 22 |
| 17 | Gremio | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | 21 |
| 19 | Remo | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | 21 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
