Sport Picks
Bahia vs Internacional
Brazil
Serie A Betano Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador 
Match Events
16'
16'
Alan Patrick
Assist: Thiago Maia
19'
19'
Pezzolano P.
23'
23'
Erick Pulga
Assist: Acevedo N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Bahia and Internacional finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Bahia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Bahia's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bahia Clean Sheet 20%
Internacional Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Internacional
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Bahia
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Bahia
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Internacional
1:0
May 28, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Internacional vs Bahia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Erick Pulga
2 Goals Assists Leader Erick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Internacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Alan Patrick
1 Goals Assists Leader Vitinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 58 / 100
Internacional 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Internacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bahia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
Bahia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Internacional has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Internacional
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3 Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2 Bahia
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0 Vasco
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 4
Internacional
(Away) 12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
06 Sept
Internacional
2 : 3 Santos
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
27 Aug
Internacional
0 : 0 Gremio
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
03 Sept
Gremio
3 : 1 Internacional
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
09 Aug
Palmeiras
0 : 0 Internacional
06 Aug
Corinthians
2 : 1 Internacional
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 57 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 56 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 46 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 45 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 41:43 | 35 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 33 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | 33 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | 29 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:38 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 31:45 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | 17 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
