Sport Picks
Bahia vs Internacional - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie A Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador 
Match Events
16'
16'
Alan Patrick
Assist: Thiago Maia
19'
19'
Pezzolano P.
23'
23'
Erick Pulga
Assist: Acevedo N.
AI Match Summary
The Serie A game between Bahia and Internacional finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Bahia's 1.48 goals per match outpaces what Internacional have produced (1.34).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bahia Clean Sheet 16%
Internacional Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Serie A
Bahia vs Internacional
3:2
Mar 15, 2026 Serie A
Internacional vs Bahia
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie A
Internacional vs Bahia
2:2
Oct 22, 2025 Serie A
Bahia vs Internacional
1:0
May 28, 2025 Copa Libertadores
Internacional vs Bahia
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Erick Pulga
2 Goals Assists Leader Erick
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Internacional Compare
Top Goalscorer Alan Patrick
1 Goals Assists Leader Vitinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 36 / 100
Internacional 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Internacional
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Internacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bahia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Internacional has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Bahia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Internacional
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 06 Nov
Cruzeiro
3 : 2 Bahia
29 Oct
Bahia
3 : 2 Sao Paulo
25 Oct
Santos
1 : 1 Bahia
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3 Flamengo RJ
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
Page 1 of 6
29 Oct
Bahia
3 : 2 Sao Paulo
18 Oct
Bahia
0 : 3 Flamengo RJ
11 Oct
Bahia
1 : 0 Mirassol
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1 Remo
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2 Internacional
Page 1 of 3
Internacional
(Away) 04 Nov
Internacional
1 : 0 Coritiba
28 Oct
Fluminense
2 : 1 Internacional
24 Oct
Internacional
3 : 0 Botafogo RJ
16 Oct
Mirassol
2 : 0 Internacional
11 Oct
Gremio
1 : 1 Internacional
Page 1 of 6
28 Oct
Fluminense
2 : 1 Internacional
16 Oct
Mirassol
2 : 0 Internacional
11 Oct
Gremio
1 : 1 Internacional
20 Sept
Sao Paulo
1 : 0 Internacional
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 55:48 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:42 | 57 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 50:45 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 44:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44:39 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:49 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 39:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:51 | 42 |
| 13 | Vasco | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 43:50 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | 40 |
| 15 | Vitoria | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 16 | Internacional | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 38:42 | 38 |
| 17 | Corinthians | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:42 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38:47 | 37 |
| 19 | Remo | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 37:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 33:68 | 21 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
