Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Erick Pulga
22'
22'
Rollheiser B.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Rollheiser B.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
27%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Santos at 1.58 per game, Bahia at 1.55.
- Bahia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bahia Clean Sheet 20%
Santos Clean Sheet 19%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bahia | Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Santos
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Santos
2:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Bahia
2:2
Sep 18, 2023 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Santos
1:2
May 31, 2023 Copa Betano do Brasil
Bahia vs Santos
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bahia Compare
Top Goalscorer Luciano Juba
1 Goals Assists Leader Willian Jose
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36
Santos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bahia 40 / 100
Santos 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bahia Santos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bahia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Bahia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Santos has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Bahia VS Santos
0.57 Goals Scored 1.75
0.57 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bahia
(Home) 09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0 Vasco
30 Jul
Fluminense
0 : 0 Bahia
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
21 Jul
Atletico-MG
1 : 1 Bahia
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Bahia
0 : 0 Vasco
26 Jul
Bahia
1 : 1 Corinthians
17 Jul
Bahia
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
04 Jul
Bahia
4 : 1 Montevideo City
30 May
Bahia
2 : 1 Botafogo RJ
Page 1 of 4
Santos
(Away) 13 Aug
Santos
2 : 1 Macara
09 Aug
Santos
0 : 2 Athletico-PR
05 Aug
Remo
0 : 1 Santos
02 Aug
Santos
0 : 0 Remo
29 Jul
Santos
4 : 2 Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Remo
0 : 1 Santos
22 Jul
Universidad Central
1 : 4 Santos
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1 Santos
23 May
Gremio
3 : 2 Santos
13 May
Coritiba
0 : 2 Santos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 38:16 | 48 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 39:18 | 42 |
| 3 | Athletico-PR | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 30:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 31:26 | 35 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:31 | 33 |
| 6 | Bahia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:25 | 33 |
| 7 | Corinthians | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24:20 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 26:22 | 31 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:29 | 30 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 27:27 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitoria | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 22:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:27 | 25 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:30 | 23 |
| 16 | Internacional | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:27 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 29:35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vasco | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:31 | 22 |
| 19 | Remo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 26:36 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 21 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 20:43 | 10 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)
