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Bahia vs Vasco Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Bahia Logo

Bahia

0 - 0
FT
Vasco Logo

Vasco

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Adson
31'
Cuiabano
36'
Thiago Mendes
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Bahia
15%
Draws
39%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Vasco have won more games recently than Bahia.
  • Model gives Vasco a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Bahia Clean Sheet 20%
Vasco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia Vasco
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.57 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Vasco
0:0
Feb 12, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Bahia
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie A Betano
Bahia vs Vasco
1:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Bahia
3:1
Oct 29, 2024 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Bahia
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia 24 / 100
Vasco 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vasco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vasco has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Bahia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia VS Vasco
1.57 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia

(Home)
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1
Bahia
14 Sept
Bahia
2 : 1
Remo
05 Sept
Bragantino
2 : 3
Bahia
30 Aug
Bahia
3 : 2
Internacional
23 Aug
Vitoria
0 : 2
Bahia
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Vasco

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Gremio
1 : 2
Vasco
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0
Vasco
06 Sept
Fluminense
1 : 0
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 28 18 6 4 55:23 60
2 Palmeiras 28 16 9 3 47:21 57
3 Athletico-PR 28 14 7 7 43:32 49
4 Fluminense 28 13 9 6 44:36 48
5 Bahia 28 12 10 6 43:35 46
6 Cruzeiro 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
7 Atletico-MG 28 12 7 9 37:32 43
8 Santos 28 11 8 9 43:41 41
9 Coritiba 28 10 8 10 37:43 38
10 Sao Paulo 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
11 Bragantino 28 10 6 12 33:32 36
12 Botafogo RJ 28 9 8 11 41:45 35
13 Vitoria 28 9 6 13 28:42 33
14 Corinthians 28 8 8 12 29:32 32
15 Mirassol 28 8 8 12 33:42 32
16 Vasco 27 8 7 12 34:41 31
17 Gremio 28 7 8 13 30:38 29
18 Internacional 28 6 10 12 30:36 28
19 Remo 28 5 8 15 32:47 23
20 Chapecoense-SC 27 3 9 15 29:53 18
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)