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Stadium Background

Bahia W vs Corinthians W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
Bahia W Logo

Bahia W

0 - 1
FT
Corinthians W Logo

Corinthians W

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Jhonson
23'
Aquino B.
46'
Sub
Aquino B. In: Andressa Alves
Out: Aquino B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bahia W
15%
Draws
49%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia W haven't matched Corinthians W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Corinthians W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Corinthians W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Corinthians W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 13%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Corinthians W
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 22
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Bahia W
1:0
Sep 16, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Corinthians W
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Corinthians W
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Bahia W
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Corinthians W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 31 / 100
Corinthians W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Corinthians W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bahia W scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Bahia W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Corinthians W let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Corinthians W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
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Corinthians W

(Away)
26 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 2
Sao Paulo W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
31 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 2
Corinthians W 1