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Bahia W vs Doce Mel W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Baiano Women 2021 Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women 2021 game between Bahia W and Doce Mel W finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bahia W
15%
Draws
8%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia W come out ahead of Doce Mel W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bahia W a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 44 37
Wins 31 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 3.36 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Doce Mel W vs Bahia W
0:4
Nov 5, 2022 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Doce Mel W
4:0
Oct 29, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Bahia W
0:0
Oct 8, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Bahia W
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Doce Mel W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 85 / 100
Doce Mel W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Doce Mel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (44 games).

Defensive concern: Doce Mel W conceded in 76% of 37 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Bahia W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Doce Mel W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.8
75% Over 1.5 80%
50% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
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Doce Mel W

(Away)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 5 4 1 0 18:1 13
2 Vitoria W 5 4 0 1 13:9 12
3 Doce Mel W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
4 Juventude Conquista W 5 2 0 3 8:11 6
5 Lusaca W 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
6 Fluminense de Feira W 5 0 0 5 3:19 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2021 (Play Offs)