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Bahia W vs Doce Mel W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2021 Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Bahia W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Bahia W
15%
Draws
8%
Doce Mel W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bahia W come out ahead of Doce Mel W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bahia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Bahia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bahia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 36.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 20%
Doce Mel W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Doce Mel W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.09 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Brasileiro A2 Women
Doce Mel W vs Bahia W
0:4
Nov 5, 2022 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Doce Mel W
4:0
Oct 29, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Bahia W
0:0
Oct 8, 2022 Baiano Women
Doce Mel W vs Bahia W
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Doce Mel W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 85 / 100
Doce Mel W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Doce Mel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia W found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Doce Mel W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Bahia W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Doce Mel W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.6
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.8
63% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
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Doce Mel W

(Away)
08 Aug
Acao W
3 : 2
Doce Mel W
02 Aug
Doce Mel W
0 : 4
Taubate W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
31 May
Doce Mel W
0 : 0
3B da Amazonia W
28 May
Cruzeiro W
5 : 0
Doce Mel W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Doce Mel W 3
Vitoria W 2
Juventude Conquista W 0
Bahia W 3
Final
Doce Mel W 1
Bahia W 4