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Bahia W vs Jacobina W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Bahia W at 2.4 goals for, 0.9 against; Jacobina W at 4.93 for, 2.36 against. Past meetings favor Bahia W slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.27 vs 4.00, favoring Bahia W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Bahia W
20%
Draws
40%
Jacobina W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahia W lately — more wins on the board than Jacobina W.
  • Jacobina W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Bahia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 10%
Jacobina W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Jacobina W
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 19 8
Draws 7 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 2.4 4.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Jacobina W
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 10 / 100
Jacobina W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Jacobina W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jacobina W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Bahia W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jacobina W let in goals in 64% of their last 14 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Jacobina W
2.25 Goals Scored 7.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.29
75% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 86%
38% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
16 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 1
Sao Paulo W
10 Oct
Bahia W
5 : 0
Jacuipense W
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
Page 1 of 6

Jacobina W

(Away)
11 Oct
Jacobina W
11 : 0
Camacariense W
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
27 Sept
Jacobina W
8 : 0
Botafogo BA W
20 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 6
Jacobina W
13 Sept
Porto-BA W
0 : 16
Jacobina W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Galicia W 3
Jequie W 0
Vitoria W 24
Barcelona FC W 0
Bahia W 5
Jacuipense W 0
Jacobina W 11
Camacariense W 0
Semi-finals
Galicia W 2
Vitoria W 4
Bahia W -
Jacobina W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -