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Bahia W vs Palmeiras W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Carol Martins In: Dan
Out: Carol Martins
30' Event
Brena Carolina
41'
Emily Assis

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Bahia W
30%
Draws
31%
Palmeiras W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bahia W have won more games recently than Palmeiras W.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Bahia W taking it.
  • Bahia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 68%
Palmeiras W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Palmeiras W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 3.41 1.69
Goals Conceded 1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Bahia W
1:2
Sep 1, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Palmeiras W
1:1
May 2, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Bahia W vs Palmeiras W
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Bahia W
3:1
Mar 17, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Palmeiras W vs Bahia W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosa W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Palmeiras W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brena Carolina
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 95 / 100
Palmeiras W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Palmeiras W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Bahia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Palmeiras W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Palmeiras W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
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Palmeiras W

(Away)
05 Sept
Palmeiras W
1 : 2
Bahia W
01 Sept
Bahia W
1 : 1
Palmeiras W
26 Aug
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Bragantino W
22 Aug
Cruzeiro W
0 : 0
Palmeiras W
16 Aug
Palmeiras W
3 : 0
EC Juventude W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W 2
Gremio W 0
Ferroviaria W 2
CR Flamengo W 3
Corinthians W 4
Cruzeiro W 1
Palmeiras W 2
Bahia W 3
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W 4
CR Flamengo W 1
Corinthians W 2
Bahia W 0
Final
Sao Paulo W 3
Corinthians W 2