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Bahia W vs Porto-BA W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana
Wed, Sep 30, 2026
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bahia W host Porto-BA W in the Baiano Women. Bahia W go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Bahia W at 4.41 goals for, 0.79 against; Porto-BA W at 0.4 for, 9.2 against. Head-to-head, Bahia W have won 1 to Porto-BA W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 30, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Bahia W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Bahia W
15%
Draws
0%
Porto-BA W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahia W have won more games recently than Porto-BA W.
  • Bahia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 20%
Porto-BA W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahia W Porto-BA W
Matches Played 39 10
Wins 26 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 4.41 0.4
Goals Conceded 0.79 9.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Baiano Women
Bahia W vs Porto-BA W
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 85 / 100
Porto-BA W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahia W Porto-BA W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahia W's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Difficult form: Porto-BA W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Bahia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Porto-BA W
2 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 7.6
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 60%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
22 Sept
Corinthians W
1 : 0
Bahia W
16 Sept
Bahia W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
07 Sept
Jacuipense W
0 : 5
Bahia W
Page 1 of 8

Porto-BA W

(Away)
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
27 Sept
Porto-BA W
0 : 9
Jacuipense W
13 Sept
Porto-BA W
0 : 16
Jacobina W
06 Sept
Botafogo BA W
7 : 3
Porto-BA W
27 Sept
Porto-BA W
0 : 18
Alagoinhas W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria W 5 5 0 0 46:0 15
2 Galicia W 5 3 1 1 22:6 10
3 Jequie W 5 3 1 1 17:9 10
4 Camacariense W 5 2 0 3 20:23 6
5 CFFB W 5 1 0 4 7:25 3
6 Juazeirense W 5 0 0 5 2:51 0
Promotion - Baiano Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jacobina W 5 4 1 0 39:2 13
2 Bahia W 5 4 1 0 28:5 13
3 Jacuipense W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
4 Barcelona FC W 5 2 0 3 7:21 6
5 Botafogo BA W 5 1 0 4 10:27 3
6 Porto-BA W 5 0 0 5 3:38 0
Promotion - Baiano Women (Play Offs)