Sport Picks

Bahia W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women Estadio Alberto Oliveira, Feira de Santana

Sao Paulo W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Copa do Brasil Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Bahia W at 2.25 goals for, 1.07 against; Sao Paulo W at 1.59 for, 0.66 against. Past meetings favor Sao Paulo W slightly — 0-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.13) back Sao Paulo W to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Bahia W

20%

Draws

45%

Sao Paulo W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Paulo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Bahia W haven't matched Sao Paulo W's recent run of results.
Bahia W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Sao Paulo W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Sao Paulo W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Sao Paulo W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Bahia W Clean Sheet 20%

Sao Paulo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bahia W	Sao Paulo W
Matches Played	28	32
Wins	15	23
Draws	7	4
Losses	6	5
Goals Scored	2.25	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.07	0.66
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 Brasileiro Women

Sao Paulo W vs Bahia W

2:1

May 18, 2025 Brasileiro Women

Bahia W vs Sao Paulo W

1:2

Feb 25, 2023 Brasileiro Women

Sao Paulo W vs Bahia W

1:1

Jun 24, 2021 Brasileiro Women

Bahia W vs Sao Paulo W

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahia W 85 / 100

Sao Paulo W 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bahia W Sao Paulo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Bahia W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Bahia W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Sao Paulo W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Bahia W VS Sao Paulo W

2.5 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.75

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

(Home)

07 Oct

Bahia W

2 : 2

Jacobina W

03 Oct

Barcelona FC W

1 : 11

Bahia W

30 Sept

Bahia W

3 : 0

Porto-BA W

24 Sept

Bahia W

7 : 2

Botafogo BA W

22 Sept

Corinthians W

1 : 0

Bahia W

Page 1 of 6

Sao Paulo W

(Away)

03 Oct

Sao Paulo W

1 : 1

Corinthians W

26 Sept

Corinthians W

1 : 2

Sao Paulo W

19 Sept

Sao Paulo W

1 : 0

CR Flamengo W

12 Sept

CR Flamengo W

1 : 3

Sao Paulo W

05 Sept

Sao Paulo W

2 : 0

Gremio W

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Fluminense W -

TBD -

Minas Brasilia W -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC W -

Cruzeiro W -

TBD -

Penarol W -

TBD -

Alagoinhas W -

TBD -

Doce Mel W -

Perolas Negras W -

TBD -

Pantanal W 1

Sao Joao PI W 2

Ipojuca W -

TBD -

Remo W -

TBD -

CR Flamengo W -

Taubate W -

TBD -

3B da Amazonia W -

Mixto W -

TBD -

Acao W -

Botafogo RJ W -

TBD -

EC Juventude W -

Guarani de Paripueira W -

TBD -

Sao Jose W -

Prosperidade W -

TBD -

Brasil de Farroupilha W -

TBD -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

TBD -

UD Alagoana W -

TBD -

Paraiso EC W -

TBD -

Ypiranga AP W -

Palmeiras W -

TBD -

Corinthians W -

Atletico-MG W -

TBD -

Cresspom W -

TBD -

Juventude W -

TBD -

Vitoria W -

Galvez W -

TBD -

Uniao RN W -

TBD -

Atletico-PI W -

TBD -

Santos W -

Sampaio Correa W 3

Portuguesa AP W 2

TBD -

Várzea Grande EC W -

Sao Raimundo RR W -

TBD -

Heips W -

Coritiba W -

TBD -

Mixto PB W -

TBD -

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -

Internacional W -

TBD -

Gremio W -

Vasco W -

TBD -

Araguari W -

TBD -

Itapuense W -

TBD -

America Mineiro W -

Rolim de Moura W -

TBD -

Mauaense W -

TBD -

Itacoatiara W -

TBD -

Sao Paulo W -

Realidade Jovem W -

TBD -

Itabirito W -

TBD -

Ceara W -

Sport Recife W -

TBD -

Criciuma W -

TBD -

R4 EC W -

Tiradentes PA W -

TBD -

Planalto EC W -

TBD -

Paysandu PA W -

TBD -

Bahia W -

1/64-finals

Fluminense W -

TBD -

Minas Brasilia W -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC W -

Cruzeiro W -

TBD -

Penarol W -

Alagoinhas W -

TBD -

Doce Mel W -

Perolas Negras W 1

Sao Joao PI W 2

Ipojuca W 2

Remo W 1

TBD -

CR Flamengo W -

Taubate W -

TBD -

3B da Amazonia W -

Mixto W -

TBD -

Acao W -

Botafogo RJ W -

TBD -

EC Juventude W -

Guarani de Paripueira W 3

Sao Jose W 4

Prosperidade W 1

Brasil de Farroupilha W 0

TBD -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

TBD -

UD Alagoana W -

TBD -

Paraiso EC W 1

Ypiranga AP W 2

Palmeiras W -

TBD -

Corinthians W -

Atletico-MG W -

TBD -

Cresspom W 0

Juventude W 1

TBD -

Vitoria W -

Galvez W 1

Uniao RN W 5

TBD -

Atletico-PI W -

TBD -

Santos W -

Sampaio Correa W 2

Várzea Grande EC W 1

Sao Raimundo RR W 0

Heips W 1

Coritiba W 1

Mixto PB W 0

TBD -

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -

Internacional W -

TBD -

Gremio W -

Vasco W -

TBD -

Araguari W 5

Itapuense W 2

TBD -

America Mineiro W -

Rolim de Moura W 1

Mauaense W 2

TBD -

Itacoatiara W -

TBD -

Sao Paulo W -

Realidade Jovem W 1

Itabirito W 2

TBD -

Ceara W -

Sport Recife W -

TBD -

Criciuma W 1

R4 EC W 0

Tiradentes PA W 2

Planalto EC W 4

TBD -

Paysandu PA W -

TBD -

Bahia W -

1/32-finals

Fluminense W -

TBD -

Minas Brasilia W 1

Vila Nova FC W 0

Cruzeiro W -

TBD -

Penarol W 1

Doce Mel W 2

Sao Joao PI W 7

Ipojuca W 0

TBD -

CR Flamengo W -

Taubate W 0

3B da Amazonia W 1

Mixto W 0

Acao W 1

Botafogo RJ W -

TBD -

EC Juventude W -

Sao Jose W 2

Prosperidade W 1

TBD -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

TBD -

UD Alagoana W 4

Ypiranga AP W 1

Palmeiras W -

TBD -

Corinthians W -

Atletico-MG W -

TBD -

Juventude W 2

Vitoria W 3

Uniao RN W 0

Atletico-PI W 1

TBD -

Santos W -

Sampaio Correa W 2

Heips W 3

Coritiba W 3

Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 1

Internacional W -

TBD -

Gremio W -

Vasco W 5

Araguari W 1

TBD -

America Mineiro W -

Mauaense W 3

Itacoatiara W 0

TBD -

Sao Paulo W -

Itabirito W 2

Ceara W 0

Sport Recife W 3

Criciuma W 0

Planalto EC W 2

Paysandu PA W 1

TBD -

Bahia W -

1/16-finals

Fluminense W 2

Minas Brasilia W 0

Cruzeiro W 5

Doce Mel W 0

Sao Joao PI W 0

CR Flamengo W 2

3B da Amazonia W 2

Acao W 0

Botafogo RJ W 3

EC Juventude W 0

Sao Jose W 1

Bragantino W 4

Ferroviaria W 8

UD Alagoana W 0

Palmeiras W 0

Corinthians W 1

Atletico-MG W 3

Vitoria W 1

Atletico-PI W 2

Santos W 1

Heips W 0

Coritiba W 2

Internacional W 1

Gremio W 0

Vasco W 1

America Mineiro W 0

Mauaense W 0

Sao Paulo W 3

Itabirito W 2

Sport Recife W 1

Planalto EC W 0

Bahia W 1

1/8-finals

Fluminense W 2

Cruzeiro W 1

CR Flamengo W 1

3B da Amazonia W 0

Botafogo RJ W 0

Bragantino W 2

Ferroviaria W 1

Corinthians W 0

Atletico-MG W 2

Atletico-PI W 1

Coritiba W 0

Internacional W 1

Vasco W 0

Sao Paulo W 1

Itabirito W 0

Bahia W 1

Quarter-finals

Fluminense W -

CR Flamengo W -

Bragantino W -

Ferroviaria W -

Atletico-MG W -

Internacional W -

Sao Paulo W -

Bahia W -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Bahia W vs Sao Paulo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil

Bahia W

Sao Paulo W

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Bahia W

Sao Paulo W

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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