Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bahir Dar Kenema vs Adama City

Ethiopia Ethiopia

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Semu B.
26' Event
Aitken B.
(Penalty)
64' Event
Tefera A.

AI Match Summary

Bahir Dar Kenema in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahir Dar Kenema.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bahir Dar Kenema
40%
Draws
29%
Adama City
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bahir Dar Kenema haven't matched Adama City's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Bahir Dar Kenema Clean Sheet 68%
Adama City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahir Dar Kenema Adama City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 18 12
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Adama City
2:1
Nov 25, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Bahir Dar Kenema
1:0
Jun 2, 2025 Premier League
Adama City vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:0
Sep 27, 2024 Premier League
Bahir Dar Kenema vs Adama City
0:1
Jun 21, 2024 Premier League
Adama City vs Bahir Dar Kenema
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahir Dar Kenema Compare

Top Goalscorer Semu B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tefera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Adama City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahir Dar Kenema 42 / 100
Adama City 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahir Dar Kenema Adama City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adama City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Bahir Dar Kenema went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bahir Dar Kenema's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Bahir Dar Kenema VS Adama City
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sidama Bunna381911843:2368
2Negele Arsi Ketema FC381515837:3060
3Mechal SC381415944:3157
4Fasil Kenema3814131128:2855
5Ethio Electric S.C.3813151032:2654
6St. Georges3814121233:3154
7Welayta Dicha381118937:3151
8Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)3813121340:3951
9Hawassa3812141237:3250
10Sheger Ketema FC3811171034:3150
11Bahir Dar Kenema38921828:2848
12Hadiya Hossana3811151231:3548
13Ethiopia Nigd Bank3811141345:4547
14Ethiopian Insurance3810161230:3146
15Adama City3810161235:3946
16Welwalo Adigrat3810161232:3646
17Shire Endaselassie389151424:3242
18Dire Dawa389151427:4142
19Mekelle 70 Enderta FC388161426:3840
20Arba Menche387141730:4635