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Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Eid M.
65' Event
Hadji Z.
80' Event
Al Zubaidi S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Al-Najma in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bahrain SC
6%
Draws
90%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bahrain SC haven't matched Al-Najma's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al-Najma's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al-Najma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bahrain SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain SC Al-Najma
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma
0:3
Jan 3, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Bahrain SC
2:1
May 6, 2025 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Bahrain SC
2:0
Dec 13, 2024 Premier League
Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma
1:2
Oct 12, 2021 Bahrain Cup
Bahrain SC vs Al-Najma
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Eid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hadji Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain SC 10 / 100
Al-Najma 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain SC Al-Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Najma has conceded goals in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Bahrain SC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Al-Najma lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain SC VS Al-Najma
0.5 Goals Scored 1
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567