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Bahrain vs Somalia

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Abatari I.

AI Match Summary

Somalia in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Somalia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Bahrain
28%
Draws
50%
Somalia
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Somalia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bahrain lately — more wins on the board than Somalia.
  • Somalia are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Bahrain Clean Sheet 20%
Somalia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bahrain Somalia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2025 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Somalia
0:1
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Bahrain vs Somalia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bahrain Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Somalia Compare

Top Goalscorer Abatari I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bahrain 24 / 100
Somalia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bahrain Somalia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Somalia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bahrain scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Bahrain stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bahrain VS Somalia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Bahrain

(Home)
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0
Bahrain
09 Dec
Bahrain
3 : 1
Sudan
06 Dec
Bahrain
1 : 5
Algeria
03 Dec
Iraq
2 : 1
Bahrain
26 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 0
Djibouti
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Somalia

(Away)
31 Mar
Mauritius
0 : 1
Somalia
27 Mar
Somalia
0 : 0
Mauritius
26 Nov
Oman
1 : 0
Somalia
21 Nov
Bahrain
0 : 1
Somalia
17 Nov
Bahrain
1 : 2
Somalia
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